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Russia Extends Diesel and Gasoline Export Bans Into 2027

ProcIntel Risk Index (PRI) PRI indicates how much procurement risk attention a canonical event warrants, based on its potential impact, corroboration, linked-entity criticality, geographic or regulatory exposure, and confidence in the available evidence. — 22 · Low Freshness: Ageing Shows how recently the evidence supporting the event was updated. Freshness is displayed separately and does not automatically reduce PRI. Shows whether all structured inputs needed for the PRI are sufficiently assessed. Incomplete Entity Criticality data is disclosed rather than silently treated as low risk. DATA QUALITY WARNING

PRI: 22 — LOW Base risk 48/100 × Low confidence multiplier (0.45). Highest contributor: Significance 60/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+24 of 40). Limiting factor: Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient (30 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient.

Confidence multiplier Confidence limits the final PRI when evidence is uncertain. A severe but weakly supported claim cannot reach the highest PRI bands.: 0.45 (Low) · Calculated 2026-08-01 12:59:38 (vv1).

Full contribution breakdown
  • Procurement Impact: 24 / 40 — Significance 60/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap
  • Corroboration: 15 / 15 — 4 corroborating event(s) in this event's cluster
  • Entity Criticality: 0 / 30 — Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient
  • Geographic Regulatory: 9 / 15 — 1 distinct content-linked geography/geographies; event type 'export_restriction' is inherently regulatory/trade in nature (+5)
Event type
Export restriction
UUID
431f68c9-90d8-46a6-a04f-fd03dc0f46ef
Editorial review status
Pending (ProcIntel's own review of this record)
Event lifecycle
Breaking (the real-world state of the situation — a separate concept from review status above)
Significance
3 · Material
  • This type of disruption typically has a moderate procurement impact.
  • A single geography identified so far.
  • Wide breadth — linked to 5 tracked entities/organisations.
  • Assessed time horizon: Short-term.
Confidence
2 · Low (distinct from each article link's own extraction confidence below)
  • Reported only by secondary sources so far — no primary/official confirmation yet.
  • Reported by a single source so far — not yet independently corroborated.
  • Some key facts (e.g. exact date) are still missing or unconfirmed.
  • Evidence was last updated within the last month.
Impact direction
Negative (provisional default — not yet reviewed)
Occurred at
Not yet established (no explicit date was tightly bound to the matched event text)
Record type
REAL

Source Facts

Russia has extended restrictions on gasoline and diesel exports through January 31, 2027, just five days after saying the diesel ban would disappear once its domestic fuel market recovered. Recovery, it seems, has been rescheduled. Moscow first banned diesel exports from July 8 through July 31 after repeated Ukrainian drone attacks knocked refineries offline, triggering fuel shortages and price spikes across Russia. Gasoline and jet fuel exports were already restricted. The new order covers gasoline, diesel, marine fuel, and gas oils. Beginning…

Linked Signals

PublishedHeadlineSourceMatched textExtraction confidenceMethod
2026-07-30 16:30:00 Russia Extends Diesel and Gasoline Export Bans Into 2027 Oilprice.com export bans 95.0 high precision phrase

Linked Entities

EntityTypeLink methodConfidenceSource article
Diesel Commodity reused entity extraction 75.0 article
Gasoline Commodity reused entity extraction 75.0 article
Jet Fuel Commodity reused entity extraction 75.0 article
Russia Country reused entity extraction 75.0 article
Global Region reused entity extraction 95.0 article

Spend Categories

No spend categories linked yet

Spend categories are linked by a reviewer, not assigned automatically.

Review History

DateActionPreviousNewReviewerNote
2026-07-31 08:58:50 Created — Export restriction: 'Russia Extends Diesel and Gasoline Export Bans Into 2027' (lifecycle=Breaking) Deterministic v1 extractor —
2026-07-31 08:58:50 Article Linked — source_item #473 — —
2026-07-31 08:58:50 Significance Changed None 3 — —
2026-07-31 08:58:50 Confidence Changed None 2 — —
2026-08-01 12:59:38 Pri Recalculated score=None, band=None score=17, band='Minimal' Stage 9.6 production backfill PRI: 17 — MINIMAL Base risk 38/100 × Low confidence multiplier (0.45). Highest contributor: Significance 60/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+24 of 40). Limiting factor: Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient (30 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient.