Developing Intelligence
Russian domestic refined-fuel shortage caused by Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries, driving export bans and reversed product trade flows.
- Situation stage
- Emerging
- Evidence Strength
- Moderate
- Significance
- Material
- Confidence
- Low
2 supporting Events 2 independent sources
Evidence
Evidence Strength Moderate
- Low
- Moderate
- High
- Very High
Evidence Strength reflects how much credible, independent evidence supports this developing situation. It is not a measure of severity, cost or likelihood of disruption.
2 supporting Events 2 independent sources evidence spanning 22 days
Reports from the same publisher or parent organisation are never counted as separate independent sources.
Evidence activity Insufficient evidence history
How this developed
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Date not establishedRussia Extends Diesel and Gasoline Export Bans Into 2027
Russia has extended restrictions on gasoline and diesel exports through January 31, 2027, just five days after saying the diesel ban would disappear once its domestic fuel market recovered. Recovery, it seems, has been …
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Date not establishedRussian fuel shortages reverse tanker trade flows
Russia is importing almost 270,000 tonnes of refined fuels from Asia this month, creating an extraordinary reversal in tanker trade flows as repeated Ukrainian strikes on refineries leave one of the world’s largest ener…
Who and where
Organisations, commodities and infrastructure
- Gasoline Commodity
- Diesel Commodity
- Jet Fuel Commodity
Geographies
Global, Russia, Singapore
Sources
2 reports across 2 independent sources.