← Signals

Signal · Geopolitical Risk

Oil rises above $90 as US-Iran interim deal expires

AGBI Early signal Published 18th August 2026 GCC, Middle East

What the source reported

Source-reported

Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday, with benchmark Brent rising above $90 a barrel after the US-Iran interim peace deal expired, raising concerns about prolonged disruption to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose 0.5 percent to $91.36 a barrel by 03:00 GMT, reaching a new high since July 30. US […]

Publication
AGBI · Trade Publication
Published
18th August 2026
Original report
agbi.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Geopolitical Risk
Geography
GCC, Middle East
Organisations
None identified
Collected
18th August 2026 · 07:18

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (30.0/100). Strongest contributor: Impact-Scale Specificity (10.0/10 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (33.0/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Specificity (12.0/20 points). Limiting factor: Source Authority (8.0/40 points).

Strongest contributor
Impact-Scale Specificity
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity
Possibly the same underlying story as Oil Rises as US Threatens Iran — flagged automatically, never merged automatically.