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Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

IEA Numbers Point to a Two-Speed Recovery in Global Fuel Prices

Oilprice.com Trade press Published 11th August 2026 Global

What the source reported

Source-reported

Five months after the U.S. and Israel opened a war with Iran, global fuel markets still haven't settled down, and the latest IEA data prove it. The IEA's monthly end-use price tracker, updated Aug. 7 and covering prices through July, shows the average per-liter cost of automotive diesel across the countries it tracks sitting near $1.94 in U.S. dollar terms. That's roughly 14% above where it stood in February, before the war started, and it's actually higher than June, even as crude oil kept sliding through most of the summer. Gasoline tells a similar…

Publication
Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
Published
11th August 2026
Original report
oilprice.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global
Organisations
None identified
Collected
11th August 2026 · 18:55

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (22.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (6.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity