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Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

Iraq's October Oil Exports Top 3.4 Million Bpd, Nearing Pre-War Levels

Oilprice.com Trade press Published 19th October 2026 Global

What the source reported

Source-reported

Iraq's oil exports have averaged more than 3.4 million barrels per day so far in October, Oil Minister Bassem Mohammed Khudair told the state news agency INA on Monday. That puts them close to the 3.3-3.5 million bpd Iraq shipped before the war with Iran choked traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The October figure is a jump of about 750,000 bpd from September, when exports averaged 2.65 million bpd according to the oil ministry. Of that, 250,000 bpd moved through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline to Ceyhan. Khudair said Iraq is now exporting through…

Publication
Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
Published
19th October 2026
Original report
oilprice.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global
Organisations
None identified
Collected
19th October 2026 · 17:59

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (22.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (6.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity