Signal · Geopolitical Risk
Inside DIB's Q3 earnings estimates
What the source reported
Source-reported<p ><span ><span class="ckeCaption" ><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/491b1db9-7383-4c0b-8834-0cba58a2ad87.png" ><br> Dubai Islamic Bank building</span></span></p> <hr> <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span >Argaam provides an overview of <a href="https://www.argaam.com/ae-en/companies/dfm/dubai-islamic/overview" target="_blank">Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB)</a> results for Q3 2026</span></span><span >, which the bank is expected to announce soon. The table below shows the bank's quarterly profits starting from Q2 2025. Net profit declined in Q2 2026 compared to the same period a year earlier, mainly due to higher total expenses and tax expenses.</span><strong >The following table illustrates this:</strong></p> <p dir="ltr" ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="6" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Profitability Indicators – AED mln</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Item</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span dir="LTR"><span >Q2 2025</span></span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span dir="LTR"><span >Q3 2025</span></span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span dir="LTR"><span >Q4 2025</span></span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span dir="LTR"><span >Q1 2026</span></span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span dir="LTR"><span >Q2 2026</span></span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Profit before provisions and non-recurring items</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,951.2</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,898.6</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,939.9</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >2,136.2</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,925.1</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >EPS before provisions and non-recurring items</span></strong><em><span >(AED/shr)</span></em></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.27</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.27</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >0.30</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.27</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Loan and investment provisions</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(</span><span dir="LTR"><span >93.2</span></span><span >)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(35.6)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(193.6)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(</span><span dir="LTR"><span >420.1</span></span><span >)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(69.2)</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Net profit</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >1858.0</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1863.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >2039.6</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >1716.1</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1855.9</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Exceptional items</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >293.3*</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Net income before one-offs</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >1,858.0</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,863.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,746.3</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >1,716.1</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,855.9</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >EPS excluding one-offs(<em><span >AED/share</span></em>)</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.24</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.24</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Basic and diluted EPS excluding non-recurring items(</span></strong><em><span >AED/share)</span></em></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.23</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.26</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.24</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.23</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ><span class="ckeCaption" dir="LTR" >*</span><span class="ckeCaption" >Net gain from the disposal of property and equipment</span><span dir="LTR" >.</span></div> <p dir="ltr" ><br> <span ><span ><strong>Key Events in Q3 2026</strong>:</span></span></p> <p dir="ltr" ><br> <span ><span >-The bank announced the successful closing of its first unrated, unsecured, 3-year senior commodity Murabaha facility, valued at $750 million, as part of its ongoing strategy to diversify the bank’s institutional funding sources.<span dir="LTR">.</span></span></span></p> <p dir="ltr" ><br> <span ><span ><strong>Key Data for Banking Sector</strong></span></span></p> <p dir="ltr" ><br> <span ><span >Data from the Central Bank covering the period through end-August 2026 indicated that UAE bank assets rose 12.9% to AED 5,741.3 billion, compared with AED 5,087 billion in the same period of 2025<span dir="LTR">.</span></span></span><br> <br> <span >The data also showed that bank deposits increased by 13%, while loans and advances climbed 18.8%</span><strong >, as detailed in the following table:</strong></p> <p dir="ltr" ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="4" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong>Aggregate UAE Banks’ Data as of end-August 2026 – AED bln</strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Item</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Aug. 2025</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Aug. 2026*</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Change</span><em><span dir="LTR"><span >(%)</span></span></em></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Assets</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >5,087.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >5,741.3</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+12.9%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Bank deposits</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >3,128.5</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >3,534.8</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+13.0%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Loans and advances</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >2,417.3</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >2,871.4</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+18.8%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ><span class="ckeCaption" dir="LTR" >*</span><span class="ckeCaption" >Preliminary data, subject to adjustment/change</span><span dir="LTR" >.</span></div> <p dir="ltr" ><br> <span ><span ><strong>Bank Balance Sheet</strong></span></span></p> <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span >The bank’s balance sheet saw total assets rise 13% in Q2 2026, while net financing investments increased 18% and customer deposits grew 15% during the same period, led by higher time and demand deposits. <strong>The following table provides details:</strong></span></span><br> </p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="4" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Balance Sheet – AED bln</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Period</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Q2 2025</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Q2 2026</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Change</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Total assets</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >373.5</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >423.2</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+13%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Net financing investments</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >237.4</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >281.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+18%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Customer deposits</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >283.7</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >327.0</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+15%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Time deposits</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >181.3</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >214.9</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+19 %</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Demand deposits</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >101.7</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >111.3</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >+9 %</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="4" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Asset Quality and Solvency – AED bln</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Item</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Q2 2025</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Q2 2026</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Trend</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Non-performing financing</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >8.29</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >7.02</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >↓</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Non-performing financing ratio</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >3.40%</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >2.45%</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >↓</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Credit loss provisions</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >6.75</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >5.95</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >↓</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Coverage ratio for non-performing loans</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >81.4%</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >84.7%</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span dir="LTR"><span >↑</span></span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ><br> <strong ><span >Average Estimates for Q3 2026</span></strong></div> <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span >DIB is forecast to report a net profit of AED 1,700.8 million,</span></span><span >9% lower year-on-year (YoY) based on average forecasts by</span><span >four research houses.</span></p> <p dir="ltr" ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="2" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Average Estimates – AED mln</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Research house</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Estimates</span></strong><span >(AED mln)</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Seco Bank</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,873.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Citigroup</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,694.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >FAB Securities</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,788.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Goldman Sachs</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,448.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Average estimates</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >1,700.8</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Net profit before one-offs</span></strong><em><span >(Q3 2025)</span></em></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >1,863.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Variance</span></strong><em><span >(%)</span></em></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(9%)</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" dir="ltr" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="3" > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Share Performance</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Item</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Bank</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Market</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Change YTD</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(23.19%)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(2.97%)</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Change (last 12 months)</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(25.76%)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >(2.69%)</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Previous close</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >7.12</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >5,867.31</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Recurring P/E (x)</span></strong></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >7.18</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >9.28</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><strong><span >Trailing 12-Month EPS Excluding Non-Recurring Items</span></strong><em><span >(AED/shr)</span></em></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >0.99</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" dir="ltr" ><span ><span ><span >--</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
- Publication
- Argaam - UAE News · Trade Publication
- Published
- 19th October 2026
- Original report
- argaam.com
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- Geography
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- Collected
- 19th October 2026 · 13:34
Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.
A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.
Initial Significance Moderate (22.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (26.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).
- Strongest contributor
- Procurement Impact
- Limiting factor
- Geographic Breadth