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Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 19

NHC Atlantic Tropical Cyclone RSS Authoritative source Published 11th October 2026 United States

What the source reported

Source-reported

Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026 <pre>000 WTNT44 KWNH 110834 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 19 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL092026 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026 Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias will spread into the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. Isolated flash and urban flooding will be possible. 2. Strong wind gusts continue to pose a threat across the southeastern United States today, particularly near the southern Appalachians. Scattered power outages and downed trees and power-lines may occur, with the risk highest in elevated terrain. 3. Swells from Isaias will continue to affect much of the Gulf and Southeastern Atlantic coasts of the United States, Mexico, and western Cuba this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. 4. A couple of tornadoes are possible today across the Piedmont and Coastal Plain of Virginia and North Carolina. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 35.4N 85.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/1800Z 37.1N 82.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 12/0600Z 38.4N 77.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Gallina</pre>

Publication
NHC Atlantic Tropical Cyclone RSS · Port/Shipping/Logistics
Published
11th October 2026
Original report
nhc.noaa.gov

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Supply Chain & Logistics
Geography
United States
Organisations
None identified
Collected
11th October 2026 · 09:05

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (33.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (21.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Impact-Scale Specificity (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (23.5/100, data sufficiency: Insufficient). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (28.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Specificity (0.0/20 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Impact-Scale Specificity