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Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 17

NHC Atlantic Tropical Cyclone RSS Authoritative source Published 10th October 2026 United States

What the source reported

Source-reported

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 <pre>000 WTNT44 KWNH 102038 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 17 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL092026 400 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias will continue across the Southern Appalachians and Southeast today. Considerable flash and urban flooding will be possible. Landslides are also possible across the Southern Appalachians. 2. Strong wind gusts continue to pose a threat across the southeastern United States today, particularly near the southern Appalachians. Scattered power outages and downed trees and powerlines may occur, with the risk highest in elevated terrain. 3. Swells from Isaias will continue to affect much of the Gulf coasts of the United States, Mexico, and western Cuba this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. 4. A couple of tornadoes are possible today across eastern Georgia and the Carolinas. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 33.5N 86.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/0600Z 35.2N 86.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 11/1800Z 37.9N 81.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Roth</pre>

Publication
NHC Atlantic Tropical Cyclone RSS · Port/Shipping/Logistics
Published
10th October 2026
Original report
nhc.noaa.gov

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Supply Chain & Logistics
Geography
United States
Organisations
None identified
Collected
10th October 2026 · 20:53

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (33.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (21.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Impact-Scale Specificity (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (23.5/100, data sufficiency: Insufficient). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (28.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Specificity (0.0/20 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Impact-Scale Specificity