Signal · Geopolitical Risk
UAE's real GDP reaches Dhs961.9 billion in first half of 2026
What the source reported
Source-reportedThe Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre (FCSC) announced that the UAE's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached Dhs961.9 billion at constant prices in the first half of 2026, recording growth of 0.4 percent compared to the same period in 2025. Non-oil GDP grew by 1.8 percent, increasing the contribution of non-oil activities to 79.2 percent of the national economy, compared to 78.1 percent during the corresponding period of the previous year. FCSC data highlight the continued pivotal role of non-oil activities in the national economy, with their growing share of GDP and diversification across several key sectors, particularly trade, financial and insurance activities, construction, manufacturing, and real estate activities. The GDP results for the first half of 2026 reflect the continued diversification of the UAE's economic base and the growing role of non-oil activities. Their expanding contribution to economic activity demonstrates the diversity of growth drivers and supports sustainable and balanced growth across a broad range of economic sectors. The first-half indicators also underscore the importance of accurate statistical data in monitoring the performance and transformation of the UAE economy and providing a comprehensive picture of the contributions of different sectors. This supports evidence-based decision-making and reinforces the role of the national statistical system in informing planning and policymaking. In the second quarter of 2026, the UAE's real GDP reached Dhs476.9 billion, representing a decline of 2.1 percent compared to the same period in 2025. Non-oil activities also contracted by 1.1 percent, as several economic sectors, particularly tourism, transport, and trade, were affected by regional developments and disruptions to travel. FCSC data showed that the contribution of non-oil activities to real GDP increased to 79.2 percent in the first half of 2026, while oil activities accounted for 20.8 percent. These figures reaffirm the importance of advancing economic diversification and expanding the contribution of non-oil sectors to support sustainable growth and strengthen the resilience and competitiveness of the national economy. Financial and insurance activities recorded the highest growth rate among major economic activities in the first half of 2026, rising by 14.8 percent, followed by information and communication activities at 7.3 percent, health and social work activities at 6 percent, construction at 5.1 percent, government activities at 3.6 percent, and real estate activities at 2.3 percent. In terms of contributions to non-oil GDP during the first half of 2026, trade activities ranked first, accounting for 16.2 percent, followed by financial and insurance activities at 15.2 percent, construction at 13.1 percent, manufacturing at 11.8 percent, and real estate activities at 7.9 percent. The GDP results for the first half and second quarter of 2026 are preliminary estimates based on the statistical methodologies and time series currently in use. Meanwhile, the FCSC, in collaboration with its partners across the national statistical system, continues to implement the UAE Comprehensive GDP Revision Programme. The updated national GDP time series will be released following the approval of the comprehensive revision results in the first quarter of 2027. WAM
- Publication
- Gulf Today - Business · Business News
- Published
- 9th October 2026
- Original report
- gulftoday.ae
ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.
What ProcIntel recorded
ProcIntel-derived- Category
- Geopolitical Risk
- Geography
- UAE
- Organisations
- None identified
- Collected
- 9th October 2026 · 13:39
Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.
A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.
Initial Significance Low (14.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (6.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (38.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Corroboration (17.5/25 points). Limiting factor: Extraction Quality (3.0/15 points).
- Strongest contributor
- Procurement Impact
- Limiting factor
- Geographic Breadth