Signal · Geopolitical Risk
Saudi Arabia's BCI dips 0.2% in September
What the source reported
Source-reported<p><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/117b9f24-21d6-40f1-948a-0c0318816a45.png" ></p> <p class="ckeCaption" >The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's flag</p> <hr> <div data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody"> <p >Saudi Arabia’s non-oil business confidence index (BCI) fell 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) in September 2026, according to data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).</p> <p ></p> <p >The BCI stood at 56.6 points in September, down 0.1 points from 56.7 points in August.</p> <p ></p> <p >Despite the slight decline, the index remained at 56.6 points, reflecting prevailing optimism in the business sector, supported by businesses’ confidence in stable economic activity in the Kingdom and continued growth, the authority said.</p> <p ></p> <p >GASTAT defines BCI as a measure of optimism and pessimism about future developments in the non-oil sector, based on surveys covering output, inputs, employment, as well as business development and expansion activities.</p> </div> <div ></div> <div ></div> <div> <p >Among the key economic sectors, the BCI for the industrial sector rose 0.5 points MoM to 56.3 points, driven by increased confidence, particularly in expectations for overall performance and sales in the upcoming month.</p> <p ></p> </div> <div></div> <div> <p >Meanwhile, the index for the services sector declined 0.7 points to 55.4 points, due to lower confidence levels, especially with regard to input costs during the current month and expectations for the following month.</p> <p ></p> </div> <div ></div> <div> <p >The construction sector index also fell 0.2 points to 57.1 points, driven by lower confidence in current-month input costs and expectations for the following month.</p> <p ></p> </div> <div ></div> <div > <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="4" > <p ><strong><span >BCI Based on Economic Activities</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span >Category</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >Aug. 2026</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >Sept. 2026</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >Change</span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span ><span >Industry</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >55.79</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >56.28</span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >0.49</span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span ><span >Services</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >56.15</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >55.41</span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >(0.74)</span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span ><span >Construction</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >57.31</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >57.13</span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span ><span >(0.18)</span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span ><span >Year</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >56.72</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >56.60</span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span >(0.11)</span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div>
- Publication
- Argaam - Main News · Trade Publication
- Published
- 8th October 2026
- Original report
- argaam.com
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What ProcIntel recorded
ProcIntel-derived- Category
- Geopolitical Risk
- Geography
- Saudi Arabia
- Organisations
- None identified
- Collected
- 8th October 2026 · 15:15
Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.
A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.
Initial Significance Moderate (35.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (27.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).
- Strongest contributor
- Procurement Impact
- Limiting factor
- Geographic Breadth