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Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

Oil Price Forecasts Jump as Hormuz Disruption Drags On

Oilprice.com Trade press Published 30th September 2026 Global

What the source reported

Source-reported

Analysts have sharply raised their 2026 oil price forecasts as hopes fade for a quick normalization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, with a new Reuters poll putting Brent crude at an average of $89.05 per barrel this year, up from $85.08 just a month ago. The September survey of 30 economists and analysts also raised the average forecast for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $83.90 per barrel from $80.20 in the August poll. Brent forecasts ranged from $77.27 to $97.60, as economists grapple with the guessing game of how sustainable the…

Publication
Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
Published
30th September 2026
Original report
oilprice.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global
Organisations
None identified
Collected
30th September 2026 · 20:08

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (26.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Geographic Breadth