Signal · Commodities & Input Costs
JP Morgan, Goldman Diverge on Hormuz Oil Flow Estimates
What the source reported
Source-reportedCrude oil exports from the Middle East have recovered almost fully to pre-war levels, according to JP Morgan, which also said fuel exports were ramping up. The bank’s analysts saw September daily oil flows at an average of 17.5 million barrels daily, or 98% of pre-war levels, with fuel exports at 3 million barrels daily, or 58% of pre-war daily average levels, Bloomberg reported, citing JP Morgan’s commodity analysts. “The Middle East’s oil export arteries are flowing again,” the team said in a note Thursday. This…
- Publication
- Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
- Published
- 30th September 2026
- Original report
- oilprice.com
ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.
What ProcIntel recorded
ProcIntel-derived- Category
- Commodities & Input Costs
- Geography
- Global
- Organisations
- None identified
- Collected
- 30th September 2026 · 07:21
Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.
A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.
Initial Significance Moderate (24.0/100). Strongest contributor: Impact-Scale Specificity (7.0/10 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).
- Strongest contributor
- Impact-Scale Specificity
- Limiting factor
- Likely Event Severity