Inside Dana Gas Q2 2026 earnings forecasts
- Source
- Argaam - UAE News
- Source link
- https://www.argaam.com/en/article/articledetail/id/1926232
- Published
- 2026-08-05 12:39:00
- Discovered by ProcIntel
- 2026-08-05 14:01:42
- Category
- GCC Spotlight
- Geography
- UAE
- Organisations
- —
- Review status
- Pending
- Record type
- REAL
Summary
<p ><span ><span class="ckeCaption" ><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/9c7e3448-a3cf-4de8-b76a-8eddab66473d.jpg" >Dana Gas logo</span></span></p> <hr> <p><strong>Argaam</strong>highlights the expected results of<a href="https://www.argaam.com/en/tadawul/tasi/seera" target="_blank">Dana Gas<span ><span >,</span></span></a>in Q2 2026, in addition to the company’s key events, quarterly revenue and profit development, as well as performance and profitability indicators.</p> <p></p> <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="6" > <p><strong><span >Quarterly revenue– AED mln</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Item</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q2 2025</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q3 2025</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q4</span></strong></p> <p><strong><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >2025</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q1</span></strong></p> <p><strong><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >2026</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q2 2026</span></strong><br> <strong><span >consensus</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Revenue</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >293.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >308.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >341.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >355.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p>413.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Change</span></strong><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >(%)</span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >(13.8%)</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >(12.5%)</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >(41.5%)</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >+6.3%</span></p> </td> <td > <p>+41.0%</p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <p></p> <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="6" > <p><strong><span >Quarterly net income – AED mln</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Item</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q2 2025</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q3 2025</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q4 2025</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q1 2026</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Q2 2026</span></strong><br> <strong><span >consensus</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Net income</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >112.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >109.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >97.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >270.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >206.0</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Exceptional item</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >0.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >0.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >4.0*</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >176.0**</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >0.0</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Net income before one-offs</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >112.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >109.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >93.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >94.0</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >206.0</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >EPS excluding one-offs</span></strong><em><span >(fils/share)</span></em></p> </td> <td > <p><span >1.60</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >1.56</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >1.33</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >1.34</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >2.94</span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <p><span >*Gain from the change in fair value of real estate investment.</span></p> <p><span >**One-off amount related to the recalculation of gas production quantity differentials in the Kurdistan region of Iraq since 2018.</span></p> <p></p> <p><strong>Key events duringQ22026:</strong></p> <p></p> <p>Shareholders approved a cash dividend of 6.5 fils per share for 2025.</p> <p></p> <p>Dana Gas announced the settlement of all its outstanding receivables in Egypt with the receipt of $21.5 million, indicating the discovery of gas reserves of 10 billion cubic feet exceeding expectations, and continues to implement an investment program worth $100 million for drilling new wells and driving growth.</p> <p></p> <p>The company signed an MoU with UK-based Levidian to develop graphene production in the UAE through the Sharjah Graphene Complex, with phase 1 investments ranging between $2 million - 5 million. The first phase targets output of 15 tons per year to meet demand in sectors such as construction, polymers, and energy.</p> <p></p> <p><strong>Average estimates </strong></p> <p>Dana Gas is expected to make a net profit of AED 205.8 million in Q2 2026, an 84% increase compared to Q2 2025, according to average estimates by two research firms.</p> <p></p> <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="2" > <p><strong><span >Average forecasts – AED mln</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Research house</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Forecast (AED mln)</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >EFG Hermes</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >228.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >First Abu Dhabi Securities</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >183.6</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Consensus</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >205.8</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Net income before one-offs</span></strong><em><span > Q2 2025</span></em></p> </td> <td > <p><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >112.0</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Variance</span></strong><em><span dir="RTL"><span ><span >(%)</span></span></span></em></p> </td> <td > <p><span >+84%</span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <p></p> <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="3" > <p><strong><span >Share performance</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Item</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Company</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><strong><span >Market</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Change YTD</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >+1.16%</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >+1.09%</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Change (Last 12 months)</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >+14.17%</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >(1.91%)</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Previous close</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >0.870</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >10,101.64</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Recurring P/E</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p><span >14.92x</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >22.62x</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p><strong><span >Trailing 12-Month EPS Excluding Non-Recurring Items</span></strong><em><span >(AED/share)</span></em></p> </td> <td > <p><span >0.058</span></p> </td> <td > <p><span >--</span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ></div> <p></p> <p></p> <p></p> <p></p> <p></p> <p></p>
Procurement Relevance Gate
- capacity_production_disruption (weight 12) — matched on "output"
- price_availability_leadtime_demand (weight 10) — matched on "demand"
- geographic_exposure (weight 8) — matched on "1 linked geography"
Initial Signal Assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.
A provisional, automatically-computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.
- Initial Significance
- 3 · Material (42.0/100)
- Initial Confidence
- 2 · Low (26.5/100)
- Data sufficiency Whether enough structured evidence exists to trust this Signal's Initial Confidence reading. 'Sufficient' has no cap; 'Partial' and 'Insufficient' cap Confidence until more evidence is available; 'Not Assessed' means the Signal did not pass the Relevance Gate.
- Partial
- Strongest contributor
- Procurement Impact
- Limiting factor
- Likely Event Severity
Initial Significance Material (42.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (27.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (26.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).
- No likely Event type matched; a low contextual baseline was applied.
- No eligible (non-geographic, non-fictional) entities were linked to this Signal.
- no matched Event type
- no actor entities (only attribution/metadata, if any)
- no actor content-derived geography
- single source only
- Entities were mentioned as context or document attribution rather than as actors in the reported development, so they did not increase Initial Confidence.
- Geographies were mentioned only in diplomatic reaction, commentary or background context rather than as the actor, event location or affected party in the reported development, so they did not increase Initial Confidence.
- Only source-level geography metadata was available.
- Source metadata did not contribute to Initial Confidence.
- 1 distinct hedging pattern(s) matched (capped at 20).
Methodology signal_scoring_v1 — calculated 2026-08-05 14:01:42.