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Signal · Geopolitical Risk

‎Oil jumps over 1% amid renewed supply concerns

Argaam - UAE News Trade press Published 4th August 2026 UAE

What the source reported

Source-reported

‎<p ><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/b2d01eff-b008-488c-b03e-a5f5327fbc74.png"></p> <p class="ckeCaption" ><!--StartFragment-->Oil drilling rigs<!--EndFragment--></p> <hr> <p >Oil edged up more than 1% today, Aug. 4, recovering some of the losses of the previous session, amid escalating concerns about risks surrounding Middle East supplies.</p> <p ></p> <p >Prices slumped yesterday after US President Donald Trump suspended new military strikes against Iran, pending the outcome of ongoing talks to end the conflict and resolve the dispute over the management of the vital Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported.</p> <p ></p> <p >However, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei denied the news, stressing that there were no scheduled negotiations or meetings with the American side, which renewed market fears of a possible escalation of field tensions again.</p> <p ></p> <p >Barclays analysts noted that net exports of crude oil and refined products through the Strait of Hormuz rose to an average of 4.2 million barrels per day during the week ending July 31, compared to about 3.2 million barrels per day in the previous week.</p> <p ></p> <p >The US crude oil inventory report from the American Petroleum Institute is expected later today, before the official data is released by the US Energy Information Administration on Aug. 5.</p> <p ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="5" > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Brent, WTI Futures Prices</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Crude</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span ><span >Price ($/bbl)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span ><span >Change ($)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p ></p> </td> <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Change </span></span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Brent (September delivery)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >85</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >1.23</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td colspan="2" > <p align="center" ><span ><span ><span > 1.45% </span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >WTI (September delivery)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >81.24</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >0.90</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td colspan="2" > <p align="center" ><span ><span ><span > 1.10% </span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p ><em class="ckeCaption">*At 07:59 am Makkah time.</em></p>

Publication
Argaam - UAE News · Trade Publication
Published
4th August 2026
Original report
argaam.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Geopolitical Risk
Geography
UAE
Organisations
None identified
Collected
4th August 2026 · 15:20

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (39.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (32.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity