← Signals

Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

What goes into diesel prices?

EIA Today in Energy Authoritative source Published 18th September 2026 Global, US

What the source reported

Source-reported

The price of distillate fuel oil, often sold as diesel, is driven by the price of crude oil, retail margins, distribution costs, taxes, and crack spreads, the indicator we use for refining margins. Tight global supplies of distillate fuel oil and elevated crude oil prices have driven prices higher in recent months.

Publication
EIA Today in Energy · Commodity/Energy Organisation
Published
18th September 2026
Original report
eia.gov

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global, US
Organisations
None identified
Collected
18th September 2026 · 15:06

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 1 · Low
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Low (16.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (6.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (39/100, data sufficiency: Insufficient). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (28.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Specificity (0.0/20 points). Capped at 39 (Low) -- insufficient structured evidence to support a higher Confidence reading, regardless of source authority.

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Geographic Breadth
Possibly the same underlying story as China’s crude imports are rising again. What will that mean for oil prices? — flagged automatically, never merged automatically.