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Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

Kpler Sees Oil Grinding Higher as Diesel Crunch Deepens

Oilprice.com Trade press Published 17th September 2026 Global

What the source reported

Source-reported

Kpler’s Matt Smith expects oil prices to keep grinding higher, with six and a half months of Middle East supply losses now working their way through gasoline and diesel prices. Smith told CNBC Thursday that oil prices have risen roughly $30 per barrel since early August. Gasoline would normally be falling at this point in the year as summer driving demand fades. It isn’t. Kpler estimates roughly 8.5 million barrels per day of oil production has been lost over the course of the conflict. Refinery runs have also been cut sharply, reducing…

Publication
Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
Published
17th September 2026
Original report
oilprice.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global
Organisations
None identified
Collected
17th September 2026 · 19:12

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (28.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (31.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity