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Signal · Geopolitical Risk

‎Oil prices extend decline; Brent falls below $104

Argaam - Main News Trade press Published 11th September 2026 Saudi Arabia

What the source reported

Source-reported

‎<p><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/f1671d69-917f-4595-be6d-05104903ed1e.png" ></p> <p class="ckeCaption" >Supply disruptions from the US-Iran war and attacks on Russian refineries continue to weigh on global oil markets.</p> <hr> <p >Oil prices extended their decline on Friday, but Brent remains on track to end the week above $100 per barrel for the first time since mid-May, as markets monitor tensions in the Middle East.</p> <p ></p> <p >Oil supply disruptions stemming from the US-Iran war, coupled with Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries, pushed the average US diesel price above $6 per gallon for the first time ever.</p> <p ></p> <p >The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects a further decline in global oil supplies as US-Iran negotiations falter and the return of normal oil flows from the Middle East is delayed until 2027.</p> <p ></p> <p >Markets are awaiting US oil and gas rig count data from Baker Hughes later today for further clues on the US supply outlook.</p> <p ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="4" > <p ><strong><span >Change in Benchmark Crude Futures Prices</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span >Crude</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span >Price ($/barrel)</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span >Change ($)</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span >Change (%)</span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span >Brent (November delivery)</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >103.72</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >(3.91)</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >(3.63%)</span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span >Nymex (October delivery)</span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >99.04</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >(3.44)</span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span >(3.39%)</span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div ><em class="ckeCaption">*As of 01:20 pm Makkah time.</em></div>

Publication
Argaam - Main News · Trade Publication
Published
11th September 2026
Original report
argaam.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Geopolitical Risk
Geography
Saudi Arabia
Organisations
None identified
Collected
11th September 2026 · 18:54

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (28.0/100). Strongest contributor: Geographic Breadth (10.0/10 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (26.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Geographic Breadth
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity