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Signal · Commodities & Input Costs

How Much Oil Is Really Getting Through the Strait of Hormuz?

Oilprice.com Trade press Published 4th September 2026 Global

What the source reported

Source-reported

Trump says the U.S. has effectively reopened the Strait of Hormuz, with 18 million barrels of oil reportedly crossing under American protection on Tuesday, close to the roughly 20 million bpd that moved through before the war. The problem is that nobody outside the U.S. government can yet verify Tuesday’s number, and the shipping data we normally rely on has become unusually difficult to read. Kpler recorded 11 visible commodity-vessel crossings Tuesday, while Lloyd’s List Intelligence recorded roughly 12 transits a day from August…

Publication
Oilprice.com · Trade Publication
Published
4th September 2026
Original report
oilprice.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Commodities & Input Costs
Geography
Global
Organisations
None identified
Collected
4th September 2026 · 15:43

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (24.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Geographic Breadth (0.0/10 points). Initial Confidence Low (34.0/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Extraction Quality (3.0/15 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Geographic Breadth