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Signal · Geopolitical Risk

Qatar’s economy shrinks in first quarter after LNG disruption

AGBI Early signal Published 31st August 2026 GCC, Middle East

What the source reported

Source-reported

Qatar‘s economy contracted in the first quarter of this year, after the Iran war hit hydrocarbon production and exports. Gross domestic product fell to QAR171 billion ($47 billion) in the three months to March 31, the state-run National Planning Council reported on Monday. This is a year-on-year drop of 7 percent. Mining and quarrying, which […]

Publication
AGBI · Trade Publication
Published
31st August 2026
Original report
agbi.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Geopolitical Risk
Geography
GCC, Middle East
Organisations
None identified
Collected
31st August 2026 · 16:49

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (27.0/100). Strongest contributor: Geographic Breadth (7.0/10 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (25.5/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Specificity (12.0/20 points). Limiting factor: Corroboration (2.5/25 points).

Strongest contributor
Geographic Breadth
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity