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Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoski County affecting 8 regions

ProcIntel Risk Index (PRI) PRI indicates how much procurement risk attention a canonical event warrants, based on its potential impact, corroboration, linked-entity criticality, geographic or regulatory exposure, and confidence in the available evidence. — 9 · Minimal Freshness: Fresh Shows how recently the evidence supporting the event was updated. Freshness is displayed separately and does not automatically reduce PRI. Shows whether all structured inputs needed for the PRI are sufficiently assessed. Incomplete Entity Criticality data is disclosed rather than silently treated as low risk. DATA QUALITY WARNING

PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities.

Confidence multiplier Confidence limits the final PRI when evidence is uncertain. A severe but weakly supported claim cannot reach the highest PRI bands.: 0.7 (Moderate) · Calculated 2026-08-21 12:47:51 (vv1).

Full contribution breakdown
  • Procurement Impact: 8 / 40 — Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap
  • Corroboration: 5 / 15 — A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty)
  • Entity Criticality: 0 / 30 — Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities
  • Geographic Regulatory: 0 / 15 — 0 distinct content-linked geography/geographies
Event type
Severe weather risk
UUID
d30e78ab-f956-47fd-a1ab-5f2218a6749e
Editorial review status
Pending (ProcIntel's own review of this record)
Event lifecycle
Breaking (the real-world state of the situation — a separate concept from review status above)
Significance
1 · Low
  • No severity/criticality baseline is defined for this event type.
  • No specific geography identified yet.
  • No specific companies or organisations linked yet.
  • Assessed time horizon: Short-term.
Confidence
3 · Moderate (distinct from each article link's own extraction confidence below)
  • Reported only by secondary sources so far — no primary/official confirmation yet.
  • Reported by a single source so far — not yet independently corroborated.
  • Key facts (what happened, when) are fully documented.
  • Evidence is current — updated within the last week.
Impact direction
— (provisional default — not yet reviewed)
Occurred at
2026-08-21 21:00:00 (exact)
Record type
REAL

Source Facts

It is forecasted moderate and heavy rainfall. The predicted sum of precipitation is from 30 mm to 50 mm, locally 60 mm. BE PREPARED to protect yourself and your property. Some flooding of properties and transport networks are possible. Disruption to power, communications and water supplies are possible. Some evacuations may be required. Dangerous driving conditions due to reduced visibility and aquaplaning. Affected areas (8): Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoszcz County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Żniński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Tucholski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Świecki County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Nakielski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Sępoleński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Chełmiński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoski County.

Linked Signals

PublishedHeadlineSourceMatched textExtraction confidenceMethod
2026-08-21 21:00:00 Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoski County affecting 8 regions IMGW-PIB, Marine Meteorological Forecast Office in Gdynia — — severe weather promotion

Linked Entities

No entities linked yet

Spend Categories

No spend categories linked yet

Spend categories are linked by a reviewer, not assigned automatically.

Review History

DateActionPreviousNewReviewerNote
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Created — Severe weather risk: 'Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Zninski County' (lifecycle=Breaking) — —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Pri Recalculated score=None, band=None score=1, band='Minimal' — PRI: 1 — MINIMAL Base risk 5/100 × Very Low confidence multiplier (0.15). Highest contributor: A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty) (+5 of 15). Limiting factor: No Significance score yet (event has no linked articles) (40 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities.
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Article Linked — source_item #11534 — —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Significance Changed None 1 — —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Confidence Changed None 3 — —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Pri Recalculated score=1.0, band='Minimal' score=9, band='Minimal' — PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities.
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Zninski County Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoszcz County affecting 2 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoszcz County affecting 2 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Swiecki County affecting 3 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Swiecki County affecting 3 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Tucholski County affecting 4 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Tucholski County affecting 4 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Sepolenski County affecting 5 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Sepolenski County affecting 5 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Chelminski County affecting 6 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Chelminski County affecting 6 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Nakielski County affecting 7 regions hazards.promotion —
2026-08-21 12:47:51 Headline Or Summary Edited Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Nakielski County affecting 7 regions Orange Heavy rain warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Bydgoski County affecting 8 regions hazards.promotion —