Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Aleksandrowski County affecting 15 regions
ProcIntel Risk Index (PRI) PRI indicates how much procurement risk attention a canonical event warrants, based on its potential impact, corroboration, linked-entity criticality, geographic or regulatory exposure, and confidence in the available evidence.
—
9 · Minimal
Freshness: Fresh Shows how recently the evidence supporting the event was updated. Freshness is displayed separately and does not automatically reduce PRI.
Shows whether all structured inputs needed for the PRI are sufficiently assessed. Incomplete Entity Criticality data is disclosed rather than silently treated as low risk. DATA QUALITY WARNING
PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities.
Confidence multiplier Confidence limits the final PRI when evidence is uncertain. A severe but weakly supported claim cannot reach the highest PRI bands.: 0.7 (Moderate) · Calculated 2026-08-21 04:38:25 (vv1).
Full contribution breakdown
- Procurement Impact: 8 / 40 — Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap
- Corroboration: 5 / 15 — A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty)
- Entity Criticality: 0 / 30 — Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities
- Geographic Regulatory: 0 / 15 — 0 distinct content-linked geography/geographies
- Event type
- Severe weather risk
- UUID
- 3a842e93-6eaf-44f4-b15e-73351f9d055f
- Editorial review status
- Pending (ProcIntel's own review of this record)
- Event lifecycle
- Breaking (the real-world state of the situation — a separate concept from review status above)
- Significance
-
1 · Low
- No severity/criticality baseline is defined for this event type.
- No specific geography identified yet.
- No specific companies or organisations linked yet.
- Assessed time horizon: Short-term.
- Confidence
-
3 · Moderate
(distinct from each article link's own extraction confidence below)
- Reported only by secondary sources so far — no primary/official confirmation yet.
- Reported by a single source so far — not yet independently corroborated.
- Key facts (what happened, when) are fully documented.
- Evidence is current — updated within the last week.
- Impact direction
- — (provisional default — not yet reviewed)
- Occurred at
- 2026-08-21 21:00:00 (exact)
- Record type
- REAL
Source Facts
It is forecasted moderate and heavy rain with precipitation sum from 40 mm to 60 mm and 70 mm locally, accompanied by thunderstorms producing wind gusts up to 80 km/h, possible hail. BE PREPARED to protect yourself and your property. Some flooding of properties and transport networks are possible. Disruption to power, communications and water supplies are possible. Some evacuations may be required. Dangerous driving conditions due to reduced visibility and aquaplaning. Affected areas (15): Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Włocławek County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Toruń County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziądz County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Włocławski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wąbrzeski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Radziejowski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Toruński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Lipnowski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Rypiński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Mogileński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Inowrocławski County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Golubsko-dobrzyński County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziądzki County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Brodnicki County, Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Aleksandrowski County.
Linked Signals
| Published | Headline | Source | Matched text | Extraction confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 21:00:00 | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Aleksandrowski County affecting 15 regions | IMGW-PIB, Marine Meteorological Forecast Office in Gdynia | — | — | severe weather promotion |
Linked Entities
No entities linked yet
Spend Categories
No spend categories linked yet
Spend categories are linked by a reviewer, not assigned automatically.
Review History
| Date | Action | Previous | New | Reviewer | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Created | — | Severe weather risk: 'Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wloclawek County' (lifecycle=Breaking) | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Pri Recalculated | score=None, band=None | score=1, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 1 — MINIMAL Base risk 5/100 × Very Low confidence multiplier (0.15). Highest contributor: A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty) (+5 of 15). Limiting factor: No Significance score yet (event has no linked articles) (40 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities. |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Article Linked | — | source_item #11335 | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Significance Changed | None | 1 | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Confidence Changed | None | 3 | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:25 | Pri Recalculated | score=1.0, band='Minimal' | score=9, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities. |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wloclawek County | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Torun County affecting 2 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Torun County affecting 2 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziadz County affecting 3 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziadz County affecting 3 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wloclawski County affecting 4 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wloclawski County affecting 4 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wabrzeski County affecting 5 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Wabrzeski County affecting 5 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Radziejowski County affecting 6 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Radziejowski County affecting 6 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Torunski County affecting 7 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Torunski County affecting 7 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Lipnowski County affecting 8 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Lipnowski County affecting 8 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Rypinski County affecting 9 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Rypinski County affecting 9 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Mogilenski County affecting 10 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Mogilenski County affecting 10 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Inowroclawski County affecting 11 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Inowroclawski County affecting 11 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Golubsko-dobrzynski County affecting 12 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:26 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Golubsko-dobrzynski County affecting 12 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziadzki County affecting 13 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:27 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Grudziadzki County affecting 13 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Brodnicki County affecting 14 regions | hazards.promotion | — |
| 2026-08-21 04:38:27 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Brodnicki County affecting 14 regions | Orange Heavy rain and thunderstorm warning for Poland - Kujawsko-pomorskie Province Aleksandrowski County affecting 15 regions | hazards.promotion | — |