Changes in commodity, service prices in July
PRI: 16 — MINIMAL Base risk 23/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 46/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+18 of 40). Limiting factor: Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient (30 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient.
Confidence multiplier Confidence limits the final PRI when evidence is uncertain. A severe but weakly supported claim cannot reach the highest PRI bands.: 0.7 (Moderate) · Calculated 2026-08-20 20:35:26 (vv1).
Full contribution breakdown
- Procurement Impact: 18 / 40 — Significance 46/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap
- Corroboration: 5 / 15 — A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty)
- Entity Criticality: 0 / 30 — Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient
- Geographic Regulatory: 0 / 15 — 0 distinct content-linked geography/geographies
- Event type
- Commodity price movement
- UUID
- 3c25080d-64e2-4223-94ef-40f0e0010175
- Editorial review status
- Pending (ProcIntel's own review of this record)
- Event lifecycle
- Breaking (the real-world state of the situation — a separate concept from review status above)
- Significance
-
3 · Material
- This type of disruption typically has a moderate procurement impact.
- No specific geography identified yet.
- Linked to 2 tracked entities.
- Assessed time horizon: Short-term.
- Confidence
-
3 · Moderate
(distinct from each article link's own extraction confidence below)
- Reported only by secondary sources so far — no primary/official confirmation yet.
- Reported by a single source so far — not yet independently corroborated.
- Key facts (what happened, when) are fully documented.
- Evidence is current — updated within the last week.
- Impact direction
- Neutral or Mixed (provisional default — not yet reviewed)
- Occurred at
-
2026-07 (month)
Evidence: "<p><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/7ff7cca6-df6d-44f7-8ff1-61406f3303da.png"></p> <p class="ckeCaption">Shopping cart</p> <hr> <div data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody" >The average prices of 107 out of 169 commodities and services across 10 categories in Saudi Arabia increased year-on-year (YoY) in July 2026, according to data issued by the General Authority for Statistics (<strong>GASTAT</strong>).</div> <div data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody" ></div> <div> <p >Meanwhile, prices of 58 other goods and services declined, while price of four others remained unchanged.</p> <p ></p> <p >Among 99 items under the food and beverages category, local tomatoes recorded the highest price increase last month, rising 59.5% YoY, followed by Indian pomegranates (+35.29%).</p> <p ></p> <p >Meanwhile, Al Osra fine sugar topped the list of commodities that recorded the largest price declines during the same period, with its average price falling by 5.86%, followed by parsley, which declined by 5.50%, and imported round onions, which fell by 4.97%.</p> <p ></p> <p >Among items under the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels category, prices showed a mixed trend in July, with 27 items rising and 11 items declining YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Most items under pets, related products and other cultural services recorded higher prices in July, with four items rising and one declining compared to the same period a year earlier.</p> <p ></p> <p >Clothing and footwear prices were mostly lower, with three items rising, six declining and one remaining unchanged YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >The personal care, social protection and miscellaneous goods and services category recorded mixed performance in July, with one item seeing a rise and two tracked items posting lower prices.</p> <p ></p> <p >Furniture, household equipment and routine household maintenance showed broad-based declines.</p> <p ></p> <p >Healthcare costs increased last month, with the three tracked services posting higher prices YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Meanwhile, transport services recorded mixed movements, with one service seeing a price increase, while the other declined in July.</p> <p ></p> <p >Restaurants and accommodation services showed mixed performance, with one service rising and two declining YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Tobacco prices edged lower, with Marlboro cigarette prices declining in July, compared to the same period a year earlier.</p> </div>" - Record type
- REAL
Source Facts
<p><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/7ff7cca6-df6d-44f7-8ff1-61406f3303da.png"></p> <p class="ckeCaption">Shopping cart</p> <hr> <div data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody" >The average prices of 107 out of 169 commodities and services across 10 categories in Saudi Arabia increased year-on-year (YoY) in July 2026, according to data issued by the General Authority for Statistics (<strong>GASTAT</strong>).</div> <div data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody" ></div> <div> <p >Meanwhile, prices of 58 other goods and services declined, while price of four others remained unchanged.</p> <p ></p> <p >Among 99 items under the food and beverages category, local tomatoes recorded the highest price increase last month, rising 59.5% YoY, followed by Indian pomegranates (+35.29%).</p> <p ></p> <p >Meanwhile, Al Osra fine sugar topped the list of commodities that recorded the largest price declines during the same period, with its average price falling by 5.86%, followed by parsley, which declined by 5.50%, and imported round onions, which fell by 4.97%.</p> <p ></p> <p >Among items under the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels category, prices showed a mixed trend in July, with 27 items rising and 11 items declining YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Most items under pets, related products and other cultural services recorded higher prices in July, with four items rising and one declining compared to the same period a year earlier.</p> <p ></p> <p >Clothing and footwear prices were mostly lower, with three items rising, six declining and one remaining unchanged YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >The personal care, social protection and miscellaneous goods and services category recorded mixed performance in July, with one item seeing a rise and two tracked items posting lower prices.</p> <p ></p> <p >Furniture, household equipment and routine household maintenance showed broad-based declines.</p> <p ></p> <p >Healthcare costs increased last month, with the three tracked services posting higher prices YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Meanwhile, transport services recorded mixed movements, with one service seeing a price increase, while the other declined in July.</p> <p ></p> <p >Restaurants and accommodation services showed mixed performance, with one service rising and two declining YoY.</p> <p ></p> <p >Tobacco prices edged lower, with Marlboro cigarette prices declining in July, compared to the same period a year earlier.</p> </div>
Linked Signals
| Published | Headline | Source | Matched text | Extraction confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 12:44:00 | Changes in commodity, service prices in July | Argaam - Main News | price increase | 95.0 | high precision phrase |
Linked Entities
| Entity | Type | Link method | Confidence | Source article |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar | Commodity | reused entity extraction | 75.0 | article |
| Saudi Arabia | Country | reused entity extraction | 95.0 | article |
Spend Categories
No spend categories linked yet
Review History
| Date | Action | Previous | New | Reviewer | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Created | — | Commodity price movement: '\u200eChanges in commodity, service prices in July' (lifecycle=Breaking) | Deterministic v1 extractor | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Pri Recalculated | score=None, band=None | score=1, band='Minimal' | Deterministic v1 extractor | PRI: 1 — MINIMAL Base risk 5/100 × Very Low confidence multiplier (0.15). Highest contributor: A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty) (+5 of 15). Limiting factor: No Significance score yet (event has no linked articles) (40 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities. |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Pri Recalculated | score=1.0, band='Minimal' | score=1, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 1 — MINIMAL Base risk 5/100 × Very Low confidence multiplier (0.15). Highest contributor: A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty) (+5 of 15). Limiting factor: No Significance score yet (event has no linked articles) (40 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient. |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Article Linked | — | source_item #11165 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Significance Changed | None | 3 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Confidence Changed | None | 3 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:35:26 | Pri Recalculated | score=1.0, band='Minimal' | score=16, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 16 — MINIMAL Base risk 23/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 46/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+18 of 40). Limiting factor: Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient (30 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: all linked entities data insufficient. |