Severe rain-flood warning affecting 2 regions
PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities.
Confidence multiplier Confidence limits the final PRI when evidence is uncertain. A severe but weakly supported claim cannot reach the highest PRI bands.: 0.7 (Moderate) · Calculated 2026-08-20 20:34:05 (vv1).
Full contribution breakdown
- Procurement Impact: 8 / 40 — Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap
- Corroboration: 5 / 15 — A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty)
- Entity Criticality: 0 / 30 — Linked-entity criticality 0/100, normalised to this factor's 30-point cap -- DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities
- Geographic Regulatory: 0 / 15 — 0 distinct content-linked geography/geographies
- Event type
- Severe weather risk
- UUID
- e3b6cd73-cfc1-48a2-ba83-8ece274a81f4
- Editorial review status
- Pending (ProcIntel's own review of this record)
- Event lifecycle
- Breaking (the real-world state of the situation — a separate concept from review status above)
- Significance
-
1 · Low
- No severity/criticality baseline is defined for this event type.
- No specific geography identified yet.
- No specific companies or organisations linked yet.
- Assessed time horizon: Short-term.
- Confidence
-
3 · Moderate
(distinct from each article link's own extraction confidence below)
- Reported only by secondary sources so far — no primary/official confirmation yet.
- Reported by a single source so far — not yet independently corroborated.
- Key facts (what happened, when) are fully documented.
- Evidence is current — updated within the last week.
- Impact direction
- — (provisional default — not yet reviewed)
- Occurred at
- 2026-08-20 22:00:00 (exact)
- Record type
- REAL
Source Facts
Heavy rain likely to impact human activities is expected. Due to rainfall, visibility may be reduced, floods are possible. Road traffic conditions may be difficult and some disruptions may affect rail travel. I keep away from rivers and low points, I reach a high point or I take shelter upstairs. I do not drive on a flooded road, even if it is only partially so. I avoid travelling. I keep myself informed and stay aware of the rising waters. I don't go into basements. I keep my belongings out of the water and locate my emergency kit. Affected areas (2): Var, Var.
Linked Signals
| Published | Headline | Source | Matched text | Extraction confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 22:00:00 | Severe rain-flood warning affecting 2 regions | METEO-FRANCE | — | — | severe weather promotion |
Linked Entities
No entities linked yet
Spend Categories
No spend categories linked yet
Review History
| Date | Action | Previous | New | Reviewer | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Created | — | Severe weather risk: 'Severe rain-flood warning' (lifecycle=Breaking) | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Pri Recalculated | score=None, band=None | score=1, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 1 — MINIMAL Base risk 5/100 × Very Low confidence multiplier (0.15). Highest contributor: A single event -- not yet corroborated by a separate clustered event (neutral baseline, not a penalty) (+5 of 15). Limiting factor: No Significance score yet (event has no linked articles) (40 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities. |
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Article Linked | — | source_item #11160 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Significance Changed | None | 1 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Confidence Changed | None | 3 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 20:34:05 | Pri Recalculated | score=1.0, band='Minimal' | score=9, band='Minimal' | — | PRI: 9 — MINIMAL Base risk 13/100 × Moderate confidence multiplier (0.70). Highest contributor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (+8 of 40). Limiting factor: Significance 19/100, normalised to this factor's 40-point cap (32 points below its maximum). DATA QUALITY WARNING: no eligible entities. |
| 2026-08-20 22:27:53 | Headline Or Summary Edited | Severe rain-flood warning | Severe rain-flood warning affecting 2 regions | hazards.promotion | — |