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Signal · Geopolitical Risk

‎Oil rises as hopes fade on prospects for end of Middle East conflict

Argaam - UAE News Trade press Published 18th August 2026 UAE

What the source reported

Source-reported

‎<p ><img src="https://argaamplus.s3.amazonaws.com/ff70c941-3e8c-42cc-894d-442a6e351e16.png" ></p> <p class="ckeCaption" ><!--StartFragment-->Oil drilling rigs<!--EndFragment--></p> <hr> <p >Oil prices rose today, Aug. 18, as the prospects for an agreement to end the war in the Middle East diminished after the US ruled out extending the temporary ceasefire agreement, leading to heightened concerns about global energy supplies.</p> <p ></p> <p >A senior Iranian official told Reuters that his country would shift to a "fully offensive" military posture after efforts to end the war faltered, while Washington ruled out extending the temporary ceasefire agreement.</p> <p ></p> <p >A projectile struck a ship passing outside the Strait of Hormuz today, marking the latest in a series of attacks that have kept transit at extremely low levels.</p> <p ></p> <p >The US crude oil inventory report from the American Petroleum Institute is expected later today, before the official data is released by the US Energy Information Administration on Aug. 19.</p> <p ></p> <table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr > <td colspan="5" > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Brent, WTI Futures Prices</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Crude</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span ><span >Price ($/bbl)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span ><span >Change ($)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p ></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><strong><span ><span ><span >Change</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >Brent (October delivery)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >91.44</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >0.57</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td colspan="2" > <p align="center" ><span ><span ><span >0.65%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr > <td > <p ><strong><span ><span ><span >WTI (September delivery)</span></span></span></strong></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >85.16</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td > <p align="center" ><span dir="RTL"><span ><span ><span >0.66</span></span></span></span></p> </td> <td colspan="2" > <p align="center" ><span ><span ><span >0.80%</span></span></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p ><em class="ckeCaption">*At 07:55 am Makkah time</em></p>

Publication
Argaam - UAE News · Trade Publication
Published
18th August 2026
Original report
argaam.com

ProcIntel stores what the source published in its feed — a headline, a summary and a link. It does not store or reproduce the full article.

What ProcIntel recorded

ProcIntel-derived
Category
Geopolitical Risk
Geography
UAE
Organisations
None identified
Collected
18th August 2026 · 15:16

Initial assessment ProcIntel's automatic, provisional read of this individual Signal -- Initial Significance and Initial Confidence, computed deterministically before any Event extraction or human review.

A provisional, automatically computed reading of this individual Signal, before Event extraction or human review. Not a final rating.

Significance 2 · Moderate
Confidence 2 · Low

Initial Significance Moderate (36.0/100). Strongest contributor: Procurement Impact (12.0/30 points). Limiting factor: Likely Event Severity (3.0/30 points). Initial Confidence Low (39.0/100, data sufficiency: Partial). Strongest contributor: Source Authority (20.0/40 points). Limiting factor: Extraction Quality (3.0/15 points).

Strongest contributor
Procurement Impact
Limiting factor
Likely Event Severity
Possibly the same underlying story as Oil Rises as US Threatens Iran — flagged automatically, never merged automatically.